Value bet: Ulsan Citizen to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGyeongju HNP to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.56
Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP preview and prediction
The match
Ulsan Citizen host Gyeongju HNP in the K3 League on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Ulsan Complex Stadium. Ulsan Citizen are 9th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Gyeongju HNP sit 5th on 40 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ulsan Citizen's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Busan Transportation 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Gyeongju HNP's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Yangpyeong 3–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Gyeongju HNP 2–2 Ulsan Citizen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Ulsan Citizen and 1.4 for Gyeongju HNP. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Ulsan Citizen to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Ulsan Citizen 1–1 Gyeongju HNP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ulsan Citizen33%fair 2.99 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.00
Gyeongju HNP44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
2.49Expected goals
1.13Ulsan Citizen xG
1.36Gyeongju HNP xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Ulsan Citizen 1.1 – 1.4 Gyeongju HNP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?
On our numbers Ulsan Citizen have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gyeongju HNP 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?
Our predicted score is Ulsan Citizen 1–1 Gyeongju HNP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?
Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulsan Complex Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
