Busan Transportation vs Changwon City preview and prediction
The match
Busan Transportation host Changwon City in the K3 League on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Busan Gudeok Stadium. Busan Transportation are 4th with 43 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Changwon City sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Busan Transportation's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Jinju Citizen 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Changwon City's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Jeonbuk Motors II 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Busan Transportation arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Changwon City 0–0 Busan Transportation.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Busan Transportation and 1.1 for Changwon City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Busan Transportation 40%, draw 25%, Changwon City 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Busan Transportation 1–1 Changwon City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Busan Transportation40%fair 2.52 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @2.88
Changwon City35%fair 2.87 · @2.75
2.25Expected goals
1.17Busan Transportation xG
1.08Changwon City xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Busan Transportation 1.2 – 1.1 Changwon City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan Transportation to win✓
40%
2.52
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan Transportation / FT Busan Transportation✓
What is the prediction for Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?
On our numbers Busan Transportation have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Changwon City 35%.
How many goals will there be in Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?
Our predicted score is Busan Transportation 1–1 Changwon City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?
Busan Transportation vs Changwon City (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
