Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Changwon City to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChangwon City to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceChangwon City or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.89
Changwon City vs Chuncheon preview and prediction
The match
Changwon City host Chuncheon in the K3 League on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT). Changwon City are 11th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Chuncheon sit 7th on 36 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Changwon City's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Geumsan Insam 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chuncheon's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Ulsan Citizen 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Changwon City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Chuncheon 2–0 Changwon City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Changwon City and 1.0 for Chuncheon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Changwon City 57%, draw 24%, Chuncheon 19%.
Safer route: Changwon City or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Changwon City to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Changwon City or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Changwon City 1–0 Chuncheon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Changwon City57%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Chuncheon19%fair 5.20 · @3.60
2.78Expected goals
1.81Changwon City xG
0.97Chuncheon xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Changwon City 1.8 – 1.0 Chuncheon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Chuncheon?
Our pick is Changwon City or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Changwon City vs Chuncheon?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chuncheon 19%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Chuncheon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Chuncheon?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–0 Chuncheon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Chuncheon?
Changwon City vs Chuncheon (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
