Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Siheung Citizen or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Siheung Citizen to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSiheung Citizen to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceSiheung Citizen or draw ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.93
Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation preview and prediction
The match
Siheung Citizen host Busan Transportation in the K3 League on Saturday 11 July, with kick-off at 09:00 (WAT). Siheung Citizen are 1st with 57 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Busan Transportation sit 4th on 43 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Siheung Citizen's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Jincheon 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Busan Transportation's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Gijang United 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Siheung Citizen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Busan Transportation 1–2 Siheung Citizen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Siheung Citizen and 0.6 for Busan Transportation. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Safer route: Siheung Citizen or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Siheung Citizen to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Siheung Citizen or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Siheung Citizen 1–0 Busan Transportation. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Siheung Citizen61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.10
Busan Transportation13%fair 7.47 · @4.00
2.28Expected goals
1.65Siheung Citizen xG
0.63Busan Transportation xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Siheung Citizen 1.6 – 0.6 Busan Transportation expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?
Our pick is Siheung Citizen or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?
On our numbers Siheung Citizen have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Busan Transportation 13%.
How many goals will there be in Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?
Our predicted score is Siheung Citizen 1–0 Busan Transportation, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?
Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
