Value bet: Daejeon Korail to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDaejeon Korail to win ✓45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.45
Busan Transportation vs Daejeon Korail preview and prediction
The match
Busan Transportation host Daejeon Korail in the K3 League on Sunday 28 June, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Busan Gudeok Stadium. Busan Transportation are 4th with 43 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Daejeon Korail sit 3rd on 45 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Busan Transportation's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Gyeongju HNP 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Daejeon Korail's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Jeonbuk Motors II 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Daejeon Korail arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Busan Transportation 0–0 Daejeon Korail.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Busan Transportation and 1.3 for Daejeon Korail. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Busan Transportation 33%, draw 22%, Daejeon Korail 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Daejeon Korail to win at 2.38 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Busan Transportation 1–1 Daejeon Korail. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Busan Transportation33%fair 3.07 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.00
Daejeon Korail45%fair 2.22 · @2.38
2.43Expected goals
1.09Busan Transportation xG
1.34Daejeon Korail xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Busan Transportation 1.1 – 1.3 Daejeon Korail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Busan Transportation vs Daejeon Korail?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Busan Transportation vs Daejeon Korail?
On our numbers Busan Transportation have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Daejeon Korail 45%.
How many goals will there be in Busan Transportation vs Daejeon Korail?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan Transportation vs Daejeon Korail?
Our predicted score is Busan Transportation 1–1 Daejeon Korail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Busan Transportation vs Daejeon Korail?
Busan Transportation vs Daejeon Korail (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
