Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Changwon City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Changwon City to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChangwon City to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceChangwon City or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.46
Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong preview and prediction
The match
The K3 League sees Changwon City take on Yeoju Sejong on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT). Changwon City are 11th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Yeoju Sejong sit 10th on 30 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Changwon City's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Mokpo City 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Yeoju Sejong's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Yangpyeong 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Changwon City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Changwon City 0–1 Yeoju Sejong.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Changwon City and 0.6 for Yeoju Sejong. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Changwon City 63%, draw 25%, Yeoju Sejong 13%.
Safer route: Changwon City or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Changwon City to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Changwon City or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Changwon City 1–0 Yeoju Sejong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Changwon City63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Yeoju Sejong13%fair 7.87 · @4.00
2.17Expected goals
1.60Changwon City xG
0.57Yeoju Sejong xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Changwon City 1.6 – 0.6 Yeoju Sejong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong?
Our pick is Changwon City or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Yeoju Sejong 13%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–0 Yeoju Sejong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong?
Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
