Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChangwon City to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceChangwon City or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.88
Changwon City vs Mokpo City preview and prediction
The match
The K3 League sees Changwon City take on Mokpo City on Saturday 20 June, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Changwon City are 11th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Mokpo City sit 12th on 26 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Changwon City's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Dangjin Citizen 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mokpo City's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Yangpyeong 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Changwon City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Changwon City and 0.5 for Mokpo City. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Changwon City 61%, draw 25%, Mokpo City 13%.
Safer route: Changwon City or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Changwon City to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Changwon City 1–0 Mokpo City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Changwon City61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
Mokpo City13%fair 7.51 · @4.33
1.96Expected goals
1.45Changwon City xG
0.51Mokpo City xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Changwon City 1.5 – 0.5 Mokpo City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changwon City to win✗
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Changwon City or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changwon City / FT Changwon City✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.88
–
Form
Changwon City – last 6
WWWDLD
6 Jun
@ Dangjin Citizen
2–1
W
30 May
@ Gangneung City
1–0
W
23 May
vs Ulsan Citizen
2–0
W
16 May
@ Pocheon
0–0
D
9 May
@ Yangpyeong
0–1
L
2 May
vs Siheung Citizen
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mokpo City – last 6
DDLLLD
7 Jun
vs Yangpyeong
0–0
D
31 May
@ Siheung Citizen
1–1
D
23 May
@ Daejeon Korail
0–3
L
17 May
vs Gyeongju HNP
0–1
L
9 May
@ Busan Transportation
0–3
L
2 May
vs Jeonbuk Motors II
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Changwon City and Mokpo City.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Mokpo City?
Our pick is Changwon City to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Changwon City vs Mokpo City?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mokpo City 13%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Mokpo City?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Mokpo City?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–0 Mokpo City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Mokpo City?
Changwon City vs Mokpo City (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
