Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGyeongju HNP to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceGyeongju HNP or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.52
Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP preview and prediction
The match
Gyeongju HNP travel to face Mokpo City in the K3 League on Sunday 17 May (06:00 WAT). Mokpo City are 12th with 26 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Gyeongju HNP sit 5th on 40 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mokpo City's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Busan Transportation 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Gyeongju HNP's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Dangjin Citizen 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Mokpo City and 1.9 for Gyeongju HNP. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 45%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mokpo City 14%, draw 23%, Gyeongju HNP 63%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gyeongju HNP to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mokpo City 0–1 Gyeongju HNP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mokpo City14%fair 7.10 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.30
Gyeongju HNP63%fair 1.60 · @1.73
2.64Expected goals
0.77Mokpo City xG
1.87Gyeongju HNP xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mokpo City 0.8 – 1.9 Gyeongju HNP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gyeongju HNP to win✓
63%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Gyeongju HNP or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Gyeongju HNP ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gyeongju HNP / FT Gyeongju HNP✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.52
–
Form
Mokpo City – last 6
LDDWDL
9 May
@ Busan Transportation
0–3
L
2 May
vs Jeonbuk Motors II
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Chuncheon
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Yeoju Sejong
3–2
W
11 Apr
vs Pocheon
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Dangjin Citizen
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gyeongju HNP – last 6
DLDLWL
10 May
vs Dangjin Citizen
2–2
D
1 May
@ Gangneung City
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs Ulsan Citizen
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Changwon City
2–3
L
11 Apr
vs Yangpyeong
4–0
W
4 Apr
@ Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mokpo City and Gyeongju HNP.
What is the prediction for Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP?
Our pick is Gyeongju HNP to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP?
On our numbers Mokpo City have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gyeongju HNP 63%.
How many goals will there be in Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP?
Our predicted score is Mokpo City 0–1 Gyeongju HNP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP?
Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
