Yangpyeong vs Changwon City preview and prediction
The match
Changwon City travel to face Yangpyeong in the K3 League on Saturday 9 May (08:00 WAT). Yangpyeong are 13th with 20 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Changwon City sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Yangpyeong's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Pocheon 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Changwon City's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Siheung Citizen 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Changwon City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.0 for Yangpyeong and 1.5 for Changwon City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yangpyeong 27%, draw 24%, Changwon City 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.83, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yangpyeong 1–1 Changwon City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yangpyeong27%fair 3.75 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.80
Changwon City50%fair 2.02 · @2.10
2.56Expected goals
1.04Yangpyeong xG
1.52Changwon City xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Yangpyeong 1.0 – 1.5 Changwon City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changwon City to win✗
50%
2.02
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changwon City / FT Changwon City✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.48
–
Form
Yangpyeong – last 6
LLLLDD
2 May
@ Pocheon
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Siheung Citizen
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Daejeon Korail
0–3
L
11 Apr
@ Gyeongju HNP
0–4
L
5 Apr
@ Busan Transportation
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
2–2
D
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Changwon City – last 6
DLWDWL
2 May
vs Siheung Citizen
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ Daejeon Korail
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Gyeongju HNP
3–2
W
11 Apr
vs Busan Transportation
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Chuncheon
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yangpyeong and Changwon City.
What is the prediction for Yangpyeong vs Changwon City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Yangpyeong vs Changwon City?
On our numbers Yangpyeong have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Changwon City 50%.
How many goals will there be in Yangpyeong vs Changwon City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yangpyeong vs Changwon City?
Our predicted score is Yangpyeong 1–1 Changwon City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Yangpyeong vs Changwon City?
Yangpyeong vs Changwon City (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
