Busan Transportation vs Gangneung City prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Gangneung City to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBusan Transportation to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.69
Busan Transportation vs Gangneung City preview and prediction
The match
Busan Transportation host Gangneung City in the K3 League on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Busan Gudeok Stadium. Busan Transportation are 4th with 43 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Gangneung City sit 8th on 36 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Busan Transportation's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Ulsan Citizen 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gangneung City's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Jeonbuk Motors II 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Busan Transportation and 0.9 for Gangneung City. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Busan Transportation 45%, draw 22%, Gangneung City 33%.
Value angle: Gangneung City to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Busan Transportation 1–0 Gangneung City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Busan Transportation45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Gangneung City33%fair 3.04 · @3.40
2.02Expected goals
1.12Busan Transportation xG
0.89Gangneung City xG
42%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Busan Transportation 1.1 – 0.9 Gangneung City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan Transportation to win✓
45%
2.23
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan Transportation / FT Busan Transportation✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.69
–
Form
Busan Transportation – last 6
WDDLDW
19 Apr
vs Ulsan Citizen
3–0
W
11 Apr
@ Changwon City
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Yangpyeong
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Daejeon Korail
0–0
D
14 Mar
@ Gyeongju HNP
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gangneung City – last 6
WLDDWD
18 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
2–0
W
12 Apr
@ Chuncheon
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Yeoju Sejong
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Mokpo City
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Dangjin Citizen
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Pocheon
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Busan Transportation and Gangneung City.
What is the prediction for Busan Transportation vs Gangneung City?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Busan Transportation vs Gangneung City?
On our numbers Busan Transportation have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gangneung City 33%.
How many goals will there be in Busan Transportation vs Gangneung City?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan Transportation vs Gangneung City?
Our predicted score is Busan Transportation 1–0 Gangneung City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Busan Transportation vs Gangneung City?
Busan Transportation vs Gangneung City (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
