Jeonbuk Motors II vs Changwon City prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Changwon City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Changwon City to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChangwon City to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceChangwon City or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Jeonbuk Motors II vs Changwon City preview and prediction
The match
The K3 League sees Jeonbuk Motors II take on Changwon City on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT). Jeonbuk Motors II are 14th with 11 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Changwon City sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jeonbuk Motors II's last 4: DLDL Most recently they drew with Yangpyeong 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Changwon City's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Chuncheon 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Changwon City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Jeonbuk Motors II and 1.8 for Changwon City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jeonbuk Motors II 15%, draw 24%, Changwon City 61%.
Safer route: Changwon City or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Changwon City to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Changwon City or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jeonbuk Motors II 0–1 Changwon City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jeonbuk Motors II15%fair 6.84 · @3.75
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Changwon City61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
2.49Expected goals
0.74Jeonbuk Motors II xG
1.76Changwon City xG
43%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Jeonbuk Motors II 0.7 – 1.8 Changwon City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changwon City to win✓
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Changwon City or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Changwon City ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changwon City / FT Changwon City✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.88
–
Form
Jeonbuk Motors II – last 4
DLDL
29 Mar
vs Yangpyeong
2–2
D
21 Mar
vs Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Daejeon Korail
3–3
D
7 Mar
@ Gyeongju HNP
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Changwon City – last 3
LLW
29 Mar
@ Chuncheon
0–2
L
21 Mar
vs Yeoju Sejong
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Dangjin Citizen
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jeonbuk Motors II and Changwon City.
What is the prediction for Jeonbuk Motors II vs Changwon City?
Our pick is Changwon City or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Jeonbuk Motors II vs Changwon City?
On our numbers Jeonbuk Motors II have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Changwon City 61%.
How many goals will there be in Jeonbuk Motors II vs Changwon City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jeonbuk Motors II vs Changwon City?
Our predicted score is Jeonbuk Motors II 0–1 Changwon City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Jeonbuk Motors II vs Changwon City?
Jeonbuk Motors II vs Changwon City (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
