Value bet: Daejeon Korail to win @ 2.85 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGyeongju HNP to win ✗38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail preview and prediction
The match
The K3 League sees Gyeongju HNP take on Daejeon Korail on Saturday 28 March, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Gyeongju Civic Stadium. Gyeongju HNP are 5th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Daejeon Korail sit 3rd on 45 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Gyeongju HNP's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Pocheon 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Daejeon Korail's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Busan Transportation 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Daejeon Korail arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Gyeongju HNP and 1.4 for Daejeon Korail. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gyeongju HNP 38%, draw 24%, Daejeon Korail 38%.
Value angle: Daejeon Korail to win at 2.85 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Gyeongju HNP 1–1 Daejeon Korail. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gyeongju HNP38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Daejeon Korail38%fair 2.66 · @2.85
2.83Expected goals
1.42Gyeongju HNP xG
1.41Daejeon Korail xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–08%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Gyeongju HNP 1.4 – 1.4 Daejeon Korail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gyeongju HNP to win✗
38%
2.61
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gyeongju HNP / FT Gyeongju HNP✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
8%
11.89
–
Form
Gyeongju HNP – last 3
LLW
22 Mar
@ Pocheon
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Busan Transportation
2–3
L
7 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors II
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Daejeon Korail – last 3
DDW
21 Mar
@ Busan Transportation
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
3–3
D
8 Mar
vs Chuncheon
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gyeongju HNP and Daejeon Korail.
What is the prediction for Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail?
On our numbers Gyeongju HNP have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Daejeon Korail 38%.
How many goals will there be in Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail?
Our predicted score is Gyeongju HNP 1–1 Daejeon Korail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail?
Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Gyeongju Civic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
