NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven preview and prediction
The match
The KNVB Beker sees NEC Nijmegen take on PSV Eindhoven on Tuesday 3 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Goffertstadion.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.4 for NEC Nijmegen and 2.3 for PSV Eindhoven. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: NEC Nijmegen 23%, draw 16%, PSV Eindhoven 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NEC Nijmegen23%fair 4.36 · @4.10
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @4.70
PSV Eindhoven61%fair 1.63 · @1.63
3.78Expected goals
1.45NEC Nijmegen xG
2.33PSV Eindhoven xG
66%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
2–27%
0–26%
2–16%
From our goals model: NEC Nijmegen 1.4 – 2.3 PSV Eindhoven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✗
61%
1.63
1.63
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
NEC Nijmegen – last 1
D
17 Feb
@ Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
PSV Eindhoven – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ FC Volendam
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEC Nijmegen and PSV Eindhoven.
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
On our numbers NEC Nijmegen have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 16% and PSV Eindhoven 61%.
How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our predicted score is NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Goffertstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
