Value bet: Tartu Welco to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTartu Welco to win ✓49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓74% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.63
Flora II vs Tartu Welco preview and prediction
The match
Flora II host Tartu Welco in the Esiliiga A on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Sportland Arena. Flora II are 5th with 52 points from 35 games (in the top half), while Tartu Welco sit 1st on 80 points (top of the table). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Flora II's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Viimsi 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Tartu Welco's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Tallinna Kalev 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tartu Welco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Tartu Welco 2–1 Flora II. Across their last 2 meetings Flora II have won 0, Tartu Welco 1, with 1 draw and 4.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.8 for Flora II and 2.3 for Tartu Welco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 74% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flora II 32%, draw 19%, Tartu Welco 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (74%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Tartu Welco to win at 2.20 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Flora II 1–2 Tartu Welco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flora II32%fair 3.11 · @2.55
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.00
Tartu Welco49%fair 2.03 · @2.20
4.06Expected goals
1.81Flora II xG
2.25Tartu Welco xG
74%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
2–27%
1–17%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Flora II 1.8 – 2.3 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Flora II vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Flora II vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Flora II have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tartu Welco 49%.
How many goals will there be in Flora II vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Flora II 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Flora II vs Tartu Welco?
Flora II vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportland Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
