Tartu Welco host Elva in the Esiliiga A on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Holm Jalgpallipark. Tartu Welco are 1st with 80 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Elva sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tartu Welco's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Viimsi 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Elva's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Tallinna Kalev 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Elva 2–1 Tartu Welco. Across their last 3 meetings Tartu Welco have won 1, Elva 1, with 1 draw and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.4 for Tartu Welco and 1.2 for Elva. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Welco 64%, draw 18%, Elva 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Tartu Welco 2–1 Elva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Welco64%fair 1.57 · @1.60
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @4.20
Elva19%fair 5.33 · @4.20
3.62Expected goals
2.39Tartu Welco xG
1.23Elva xG
69%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–18%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.4 – 1.2 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Elva?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Elva 19%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Elva?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Elva?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Elva?
Tartu Welco vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
