Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultViimsi to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Viimsi vs Tartu Welco preview and prediction
The match
Tartu Welco travel to Viimsi Staadion in the Esiliiga A on Thursday 17 September (17:00 WAT) to face Viimsi. Viimsi are 2nd with 61 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Tartu Welco sit 1st on 80 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Viimsi's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Nõmme United II 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Tartu Welco's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Nõmme Kalju II 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Tartu Welco 1–3 Viimsi. Across their last 3 meetings Viimsi have won 2, Tartu Welco 0, with 1 draw and 3.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for Viimsi and 1.3 for Tartu Welco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Viimsi 60%, draw 17%, Tartu Welco 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.33.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Viimsi to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Viimsi 2–1 Tartu Welco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Viimsi60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw17%fair 5.76 · @3.60
Tartu Welco22%fair 4.48 · @3.00
3.50Expected goals
2.23Viimsi xG
1.27Tartu Welco xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Viimsi 2.2 – 1.3 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Viimsi to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Viimsi vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Viimsi have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tartu Welco 22%.
How many goals will there be in Viimsi vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Viimsi vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Viimsi 2–1 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Viimsi vs Tartu Welco?
Viimsi vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Viimsi Staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
