Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTartu Welco to win ✓71% · @1.14
Double chanceTartu Welco or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.45
Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tartu Welco take on Nõmme Kalju II on Monday 14 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Holm Jalgpallipark. Tartu Welco are 1st with 80 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Nõmme Kalju II sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 56 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tartu Welco's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with FCI Levadia II 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Flora II 1–5 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tartu Welco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished Nõmme Kalju II 2–4 Tartu Welco. Across their last 3 meetings Tartu Welco have won 3, Nõmme Kalju II 0, with 0 draws and 6.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 3.0 for Tartu Welco and 1.2 for Nõmme Kalju II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 82% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Welco 71%, draw 18%, Nõmme Kalju II 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Tartu Welco 3–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Welco71%fair 1.40 · @1.14
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @7.00
Nõmme Kalju II11%fair 9.36 · @10.50
4.28Expected goals
3.03Tartu Welco xG
1.24Nõmme Kalju II xG
65%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
3–06%
2–06%
4–16%
1–15%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 3.0 – 1.2 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nõmme Kalju II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 3–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
