Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tallinna Kalev take on Tartu Welco on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Kadrioru Staadion. Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 41 points from 35 games (in the bottom half), while Tartu Welco sit 1st on 80 points (top of the table). A gap of 39 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Flora II 0–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tartu Welco's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Viimsi 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 March 2026, finished Tartu Welco 3–0 Tallinna Kalev.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.3 for Tallinna Kalev and 2.7 for Tartu Welco. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tallinna Kalev 20%, draw 11%, Tartu Welco 69%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tartu Welco to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Tartu Welco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tallinna Kalev20%fair 5.02 · @4.20
Draw11%fair 8.85 · @4.50
Tartu Welco69%fair 1.45 · @1.53
3.99Expected goals
1.32Tallinna Kalev xG
2.67Tartu Welco xG
56%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 1.3 – 2.7 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Tartu Welco to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Tartu Welco 69%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
