Value bet: Tallinna Kalev to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu preview and prediction
The match
Tallinna Kalev host Maardu in the Esiliiga A on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Kadrioru Staadion. Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 41 points from 35 games (in the bottom half), while Maardu sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Nõmme Kalju II 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maardu's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Elva 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Tallinna Kalev arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 July 2026, finished Tallinna Kalev 3–3 Maardu. Across their last 2 meetings Tallinna Kalev have won 0, Maardu 0, with 2 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.4 for Tallinna Kalev and 1.3 for Maardu. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tallinna Kalev 62%, draw 16%, Maardu 22%.
Value angle: Tallinna Kalev to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Maardu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tallinna Kalev62%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @4.20
Maardu22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
3.71Expected goals
2.38Tallinna Kalev xG
1.33Maardu xG
56%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 2.4 – 1.3 Maardu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Maardu 22%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Maardu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
