Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco prediction & analysis
92%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.09 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTartu Welco to win ✓74% · @1.17
Double chanceTartu Welco or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.28
Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco preview and prediction
The match
Tartu Welco travel to Hiiu Stadium in the Esiliiga A on Sunday 23 August (13:00 WAT) to face Nõmme Kalju II. Nõmme Kalju II are 10th with 24 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Tartu Welco sit 1st on 80 points (top of the table). A gap of 56 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Tallinna Kalev 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Tartu Welco's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat FCI Levadia II 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Tartu Welco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 May 2026, finished Tartu Welco 4–2 Nõmme Kalju II. Across their last 2 meetings Nõmme Kalju II have won 0, Tartu Welco 2, with 0 draws and 6.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 1.2 for Nõmme Kalju II and 3.0 for Tartu Welco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme Kalju II 11%, draw 15%, Tartu Welco 74%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 92% chance. Predicted score: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Tartu Welco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme Kalju II11%fair 8.89 · @9.00
Draw15%fair 6.75 · @7.00
Tartu Welco74%fair 1.35 · @1.17
4.16Expected goals
1.17Nõmme Kalju II xG
3.00Tartu Welco xG
57%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–46%
1–15%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.2 – 3.0 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 92% chance.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Tartu Welco 74%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?
Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
