Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Tallinna Kalev to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev preview and prediction
The match
Nõmme Kalju II host Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga A on Thursday 20 August, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Hiiu Stadium. Nõmme Kalju II are 10th with 24 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Tallinna Kalev sit 7th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Nõmme United II 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Elva 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tallinna Kalev arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Tallinna Kalev 5–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Across their last 2 meetings Nõmme Kalju II have won 0, Tallinna Kalev 2, with 0 draws and 5.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.3 for Nõmme Kalju II and 2.6 for Tallinna Kalev. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme Kalju II 18%, draw 15%, Tallinna Kalev 66%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tallinna Kalev to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Tallinna Kalev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme Kalju II18%fair 5.43 · @3.70
Draw15%fair 6.46 · @3.90
Tallinna Kalev66%fair 1.51 · @1.67
3.85Expected goals
1.28Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.57Tallinna Kalev xG
66%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–27%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.3 – 2.6 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Tallinna Kalev to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Tallinna Kalev 66%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Nõmme Kalju II vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
