Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Elva vs Tartu Welco preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Elva take on Tartu Welco on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Nike Arena. Elva are 4th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Tartu Welco sit 1st on 80 points (top of the table). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Elva's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with FCI Levadia II 2–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tartu Welco's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Nõmme United II 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Elva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 June 2026, finished Elva 0–2 Tartu Welco. Across their last 2 meetings Elva have won 0, Tartu Welco 1, with 1 draw and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.3 for Elva and 2.5 for Tartu Welco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elva 21%, draw 13%, Tartu Welco 66%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Elva 1–2 Tartu Welco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elva21%fair 4.87 · @3.90
Draw13%fair 7.42 · @4.33
Tartu Welco66%fair 1.52 · @1.60
3.84Expected goals
1.31Elva xG
2.53Tartu Welco xG
56%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–27%
2–26%
0–36%
From our goals model: Elva 1.3 – 2.5 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Elva vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Elva have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Tartu Welco 66%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Elva 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Elva vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
