Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Maardu vs Tartu Welco preview and prediction
The match
Tartu Welco travel to Maardu linnastaadion in the Esiliiga A on Monday 13 July (17:00 WAT) to face Maardu. Maardu are 6th with 45 points from 33 games (in the bottom half), while Tartu Welco sit 1st on 80 points (top of the table). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Maardu's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Flora II 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Tartu Welco's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Viimsi 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Tartu Welco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Maardu 0–1 Tartu Welco.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.4 for Maardu and 2.5 for Tartu Welco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maardu 18%, draw 20%, Tartu Welco 63%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Maardu 1–2 Tartu Welco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maardu18%fair 5.69 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.75
Tartu Welco63%fair 1.59 · @1.38
3.92Expected goals
1.39Maardu xG
2.53Tartu Welco xG
58%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%
From our goals model: Maardu 1.4 – 2.5 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Maardu have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tartu Welco 63%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Maardu 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
Maardu vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Maardu linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
