Thursday, 12 November 2026 14 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Esiliiga A · Estonia · Hiiu Stadium
2–2
FT

Elva

WLLWL

Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva prediction & analysis

71%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultElva to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.10

Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva preview and prediction

The match

Elva travel to Hiiu Stadium in the Esiliiga A on Sunday 5 July (13:00 WAT) to face Nõmme Kalju II. Nõmme Kalju II are 10th with 24 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Elva sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Tallinna Kalev 1–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Elva's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Järva-Jaani 4–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Elva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Elva 2–4 Nõmme Kalju II.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.7 for Nõmme Kalju II and 2.0 for Elva. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Elva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Nõmme Kalju II36%fair 2.77 · @2.60
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @4.00
Elva46%fair 2.17 · @2.10
3.73Expected goals
1.74Nõmme Kalju II xG
1.99Elva xG
57%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%

From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.7 – 2.0 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultElva to win ✗46%2.172.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultElva ahead at half-time ✗36%2.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Elva / FT Elva ✗27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.10–

Form

Nõmme Kalju II – last 6

LLWLLW
21 Jun@ Tallinna Kalev1–5L
18 Jun@ Maardu1–2L
15 Junvs Nõmme United II4–1W
1 Junvs FC Tallinn1–3L
28 May@ Tartu Welco2–4L
11 Mayvs FCI Levadia II1–0W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Elva – last 6

WLLWLW
30 Jun@ Järva-Jaani4–0W
22 Junvs Flora II0–3L
18 Junvs Viimsi0–1L
11 Junvs Maardu4–3W
1 Junvs Tartu Welco0–2L
28 May@ FCI Levadia II3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Elva v Nõmme Kalju II2–4
Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?

On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Elva 46%.

How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?

Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?

Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.