FC Tallinn vs Nõmme United II prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Nõmme United II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNõmme United II to win ✗67% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52
FC Tallinn vs Nõmme United II preview and prediction
The match
Nõmme United II travel to face FC Tallinn in the Esiliiga A on Saturday 4 July (13:00 WAT). FC Tallinn are 8th with 41 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Nõmme United II sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Tallinn's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to FCI Levadia II 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Nõmme United II's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Flora II 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.3 for FC Tallinn and 2.7 for Nõmme United II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tallinn 19%, draw 14%, Nõmme United II 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nõmme United II to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Tallinn 1–2 Nõmme United II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tallinn19%fair 5.27 · @4.00
Draw14%fair 6.98 · @4.50
Nõmme United II67%fair 1.50 · @1.53
4.00Expected goals
1.35FC Tallinn xG
2.65Nõmme United II xG
68%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–36%
From our goals model: FC Tallinn 1.3 – 2.7 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nõmme United II to win✗
67%
1.50
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.25
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Nõmme United II ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nõmme United II / FT Nõmme United II✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
FC Tallinn – last 6
LLLWDL
21 Jun
@ FCI Levadia II
0–4
L
18 Jun
vs Flora II
1–3
L
13 Jun
@ Tartu Welco
0–4
L
1 Jun
@ Nõmme Kalju II
3–1
W
28 May
vs Maardu
0–0
D
24 May
vs Viimsi
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nõmme United II – last 6
DLLLLD
30 Jun
vs Flora II
3–3
D
21 Jun
@ Tartu Welco
2–5
L
18 Jun
vs Tallinna Kalev
1–2
L
15 Jun
@ Nõmme Kalju II
1–4
L
25 May
@ FCI Levadia II
2–4
L
13 May
@ Flora II
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tallinn and Nõmme United II.
What is the prediction for FC Tallinn vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Nõmme United II to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FC Tallinn vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers FC Tallinn have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Nõmme United II 67%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tallinn vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tallinn vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is FC Tallinn 1–2 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is FC Tallinn vs Nõmme United II?
FC Tallinn vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
