Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu preview and prediction
The match
Maardu travel to Kadrioru Staadion in the Esiliiga A on Friday 3 July (18:30 WAT) to face Tallinna Kalev. Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 41 points from 35 games (in the bottom half), while Maardu sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Nõmme Kalju II 5–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Maardu's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Viimsi 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Maardu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Maardu 1–1 Tallinna Kalev.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.2 for Tallinna Kalev and 1.4 for Maardu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tallinna Kalev 60%, draw 14%, Maardu 26%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tallinna Kalev to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Maardu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tallinna Kalev60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw14%fair 7.07 · @4.00
Maardu26%fair 3.82 · @2.88
3.63Expected goals
2.24Tallinna Kalev xG
1.39Maardu xG
56%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 2.2 – 1.4 Maardu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
Our pick is Tallinna Kalev to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Maardu 26%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Maardu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu?
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
