Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Elva vs Maardu preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Elva take on Maardu on Thursday 11 June, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Nike Arena. Elva are 4th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Maardu sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Elva's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Tartu Welco 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Maardu's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with FC Tallinn 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Elva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 March 2026, finished Maardu 0–3 Elva.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.5 for Elva and 1.0 for Maardu. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elva 70%, draw 17%, Maardu 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Elva to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Elva 2–0 Maardu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elva70%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @4.50
Maardu13%fair 7.69 · @5.00
3.44Expected goals
2.46Elva xG
0.98Maardu xG
53%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
3–08%
1–08%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Elva 2.5 – 1.0 Maardu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Elva to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Elva vs Maardu?
On our numbers Elva have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Maardu 13%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Maardu?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Maardu?
Our predicted score is Elva 2–0 Maardu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Maardu?
Elva vs Maardu (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
