Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98
Elva vs Tartu Welco preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Elva take on Tartu Welco on Monday 1 June, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Nike Arena. Elva are 4th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Tartu Welco sit 1st on 80 points (top of the table). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Elva's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat FCI Levadia II 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Tartu Welco's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Nõmme Kalju II 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished Tartu Welco 3–3 Elva.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.4 for Elva and 2.4 for Tartu Welco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elva 21%, draw 18%, Tartu Welco 61%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Elva 1–2 Tartu Welco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elva21%fair 4.86 · @3.80
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @3.90
Tartu Welco61%fair 1.64 · @1.62
3.77Expected goals
1.36Elva xG
2.41Tartu Welco xG
55%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Elva 1.4 – 2.4 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Elva vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Elva have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tartu Welco 61%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Elva 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Elva vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
