Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlora II to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Maardu vs Flora II preview and prediction
The match
Flora II travel to Maardu linnastaadion in the Esiliiga A on Thursday 9 July (17:00 WAT) to face Maardu. Maardu are 6th with 45 points from 33 games (in the bottom half), while Flora II sit 5th on 52 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Maardu's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Tallinna Kalev 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Flora II's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to FCI Levadia II 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Flora II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Flora II 5–0 Maardu. Across their last 2 meetings Maardu have won 0, Flora II 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.5 for Maardu and 2.5 for Flora II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maardu 25%, draw 12%, Flora II 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Flora II to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maardu 1–2 Flora II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maardu25%fair 4.06 · @3.25
Draw12%fair 8.35 · @3.80
Flora II63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
4.00Expected goals
1.48Maardu xG
2.52Flora II xG
72%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Maardu 1.5 – 2.5 Flora II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Flora II to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Maardu vs Flora II?
On our numbers Maardu have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Flora II 63%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Flora II?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Flora II?
Our predicted score is Maardu 1–2 Flora II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Flora II?
Maardu vs Flora II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Maardu linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
