Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tartu Welco take on Nõmme Kalju II on Thursday 28 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Holm Jalgpallipark. Tartu Welco are 1st with 80 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Nõmme Kalju II sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 56 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tartu Welco's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Maardu 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat FCI Levadia II 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Nõmme Kalju II 1–5 Tartu Welco.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.9 for Tartu Welco and 1.1 for Nõmme Kalju II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Welco 72%, draw 16%, Nõmme Kalju II 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tartu Welco 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Welco72%fair 1.38 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @6.50
Nõmme Kalju II11%fair 9.02 · @8.00
4.02Expected goals
2.89Tartu Welco xG
1.13Nõmme Kalju II xG
52%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
4–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.9 – 1.1 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Nõmme Kalju II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
