Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Flora II to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlora II to win ✓63% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.20
Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Nõmme Kalju II take on Flora II on Saturday 25 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Hiiu Stadium. Nõmme Kalju II are 10th with 24 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Flora II sit 5th on 52 points (in the top half). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to FCI Levadia II 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Flora II's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Trans Narva 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 March 2026, finished Flora II 3–1 Nõmme Kalju II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 1.6 for Nõmme Kalju II and 2.6 for Flora II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 79% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme Kalju II 24%, draw 14%, Flora II 63%.
Value angle: Flora II to win at 1.83 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Flora II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme Kalju II24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Draw14%fair 7.25 · @4.50
Flora II63%fair 1.60 · @1.83
4.18Expected goals
1.55Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.63Flora II xG
61%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.6 – 2.6 Flora II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Flora II 63%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Flora II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?
Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
