Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Tartu Welco vs Flora II preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tartu Welco take on Flora II on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Holm Jalgpallipark. Tartu Welco are 1st with 80 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Flora II sit 5th on 52 points (in the top half). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tartu Welco's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat FC Tallinn 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Flora II's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Nõmme United II 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.6 for Tartu Welco and 1.5 for Flora II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Welco 61%, draw 19%, Flora II 20%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Tartu Welco 2–1 Flora II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Welco61%fair 1.64 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.50
Flora II20%fair 5.09 · @3.75
4.10Expected goals
2.62Tartu Welco xG
1.49Flora II xG
60%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
1–16%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.6 – 1.5 Flora II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tartu Welco to win✗
61%
1.64
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Tartu Welco ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.89
–
Form
Tartu Welco – last 6
WDLWWW
1 May
@ FC Tallinn
2–0
W
27 Apr
vs Elva
3–3
D
23 Apr
@ Viimsi
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs FCI Levadia II
3–2
W
11 Apr
@ Nõmme Kalju II
5–1
W
3 Apr
@ Nõmme United II
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Flora II – last 6
DLWWWW
13 May
vs Nõmme United II
2–2
D
9 May
vs Viimsi
0–4
L
1 May
vs Maardu
5–0
W
23 Apr
vs Elva
3–2
W
16 Apr
@ Tallinna Kalev
4–1
W
10 Apr
vs FC Tallinn
5–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tartu Welco and Flora II.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Flora II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Flora II?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Flora II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Flora II?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Flora II?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Flora II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Flora II?
Tartu Welco vs Flora II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
