Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.32 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.32Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultElva to win ✓64% · @1.41
Double chanceElva or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.41
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Elva vs FC Tallinn preview and prediction
The match
FC Tallinn travel to Nike Arena in the Esiliiga A on Thursday 7 May (17:00 WAT) to face Elva. Elva are 4th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top four), while FC Tallinn sit 8th on 41 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Elva's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Nõmme Kalju II 2–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
FC Tallinn's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Tartu Welco 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
FC Tallinn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Elva and 1.1 for FC Tallinn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elva 64%, draw 19%, FC Tallinn 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.41.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Elva 2–1 FC Tallinn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elva64%fair 1.56 · @1.41
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @4.30
FC Tallinn17%fair 5.97 · @5.10
3.54Expected goals
2.43Elva xG
1.11FC Tallinn xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Elva 2.4 – 1.1 FC Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elva to win✓
64%
1.56
1.41
Double chance
Elva or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.41
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.05
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.32
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.66
Half-time result
Elva ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elva / FT Elva✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Form
Elva – last 6
LDLLLW
2 May
vs Nõmme Kalju II
2–4
L
27 Apr
@ Tartu Welco
3–3
D
23 Apr
@ Flora II
2–3
L
19 Apr
vs Nõmme United II
1–3
L
9 Apr
@ Tallinna Kalev
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Viimsi
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Tallinn – last 6
LWDLLW
1 May
vs Tartu Welco
0–2
L
27 Apr
vs FCI Levadia II
4–2
W
23 Apr
@ Maardu
1–1
D
16 Apr
@ Viimsi
1–5
L
10 Apr
@ Flora II
0–5
L
4 Apr
vs Nõmme Kalju II
6–3
W
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elva and FC Tallinn.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Elva vs FC Tallinn?
On our numbers Elva have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Tallinn 17%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs FC Tallinn?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs FC Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Elva 2–1 FC Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Elva vs FC Tallinn?
Elva vs FC Tallinn (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
