Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultElva to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II preview and prediction
The match
Elva host Nõmme Kalju II in the Esiliiga A on Saturday 2 May, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT) at Nike Arena. Elva are 4th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Nõmme Kalju II sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Elva's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Tartu Welco 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Nõmme Kalju II's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Tallinna Kalev 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.4 for Elva and 1.3 for Nõmme Kalju II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elva 64%, draw 14%, Nõmme Kalju II 22%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Elva to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Elva 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elva64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw14%fair 7.15 · @3.70
Nõmme Kalju II22%fair 4.63 · @3.20
3.77Expected goals
2.45Elva xG
1.32Nõmme Kalju II xG
57%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Elva 2.4 – 1.3 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elva to win✗
64%
1.55
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.02
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.24
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.71
Half-time result
Elva ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elva / FT Elva✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Form
Elva – last 6
DLLLWW
27 Apr
@ Tartu Welco
3–3
D
23 Apr
@ Flora II
2–3
L
19 Apr
vs Nõmme United II
1–3
L
9 Apr
@ Tallinna Kalev
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Viimsi
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs FCI Levadia II
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nõmme Kalju II – last 6
LWWLLL
27 Apr
vs Tallinna Kalev
0–4
L
24 Apr
@ Nõmme United II
3–0
W
18 Apr
vs Maardu
3–2
W
11 Apr
vs Tartu Welco
1–5
L
4 Apr
@ FC Tallinn
3–6
L
19 Mar
@ Flora II
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elva and Nõmme Kalju II.
What is the prediction for Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our pick is Elva to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?
On our numbers Elva have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Nõmme Kalju II 22%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our predicted score is Elva 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
