Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II preview and prediction
The match
Nõmme United II host Nõmme Kalju II in the Esiliiga A on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Nõmme United II are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Nõmme Kalju II sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme United II's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Elva 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Nõmme Kalju II's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Maardu 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Nõmme United II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.3 for Nõmme United II and 1.5 for Nõmme Kalju II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United II 59%, draw 16%, Nõmme Kalju II 26%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Nõmme United II 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United II59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
Draw16%fair 6.41 · @3.80
Nõmme Kalju II26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
3.80Expected goals
2.33Nõmme United II xG
1.47Nõmme Kalju II xG
57%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Nõmme United II 2.3 – 1.5 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nõmme United II to win✗
59%
1.70
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.26
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.76
Half-time result
Nõmme United II ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nõmme United II / FT Nõmme United II✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.20
–
Form
Nõmme United II – last 6
WWLWWW
19 Apr
@ Elva
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Viimsi
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Tartu Welco
1–3
L
16 Mar
@ FCI Levadia II
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Maardu
4–1
W
14 Feb
@ Parnu JK Vaprus U21
4–3
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nõmme Kalju II – last 4
WLLL
18 Apr
vs Maardu
3–2
W
11 Apr
vs Tartu Welco
1–5
L
4 Apr
@ FC Tallinn
3–6
L
19 Mar
@ Flora II
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nõmme United II and Nõmme Kalju II.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II?
On our numbers Nõmme United II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Nõmme Kalju II 26%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United II 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Nõmme United II vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
