Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultElva to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Elva vs Nõmme United II preview and prediction
The match
Elva host Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT) at Nike Arena. Elva are 4th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Nõmme United II sit 9th on 40 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Elva's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Tallinna Kalev 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nõmme United II's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Viimsi 3–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Elva and 1.2 for Nõmme United II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elva 61%, draw 13%, Nõmme United II 26%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Elva to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Elva 2–1 Nõmme United II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elva61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw13%fair 7.65 · @3.90
Nõmme United II26%fair 3.87 · @3.30
3.20Expected goals
2.02Elva xG
1.18Nõmme United II xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Elva 2.0 – 1.2 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elva to win✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Half-time result
Elva ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elva / FT Elva✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Form
Elva – last 4
LWWW
9 Apr
@ Tallinna Kalev
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Viimsi
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs FCI Levadia II
3–2
W
12 Mar
@ Maardu
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Nõmme United II – last 5
WLWWW
12 Apr
@ Viimsi
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Tartu Welco
1–3
L
16 Mar
@ FCI Levadia II
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Maardu
4–1
W
14 Feb
@ Parnu JK Vaprus U21
4–3
W
2.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elva and Nõmme United II.
What is the prediction for Elva vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Elva to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Elva vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Elva have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Nõmme United II 26%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Elva 2–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Nõmme United II?
Elva vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
