Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaardu to win ✗65% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.03
Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu preview and prediction
The match
Maardu travel to Hiiu Stadium in the Esiliiga A on Saturday 18 April (10:30 WAT) to face Nõmme Kalju II. Nõmme Kalju II are 10th with 24 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Maardu sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme Kalju II's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Tartu Welco 1–5 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 4.7 conceded.
Maardu's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat FCI Levadia II 3–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Maardu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.3 for Nõmme Kalju II and 2.5 for Maardu. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme Kalju II 21%, draw 14%, Maardu 65%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maardu to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Maardu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme Kalju II21%fair 4.78 · @2.90
Draw14%fair 6.94 · @4.10
Maardu65%fair 1.55 · @1.85
3.81Expected goals
1.32Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.48Maardu xG
55%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–27%
2–26%
0–36%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.3 – 2.5 Maardu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maardu to win✗
65%
1.55
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Maardu ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maardu / FT Maardu✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.03
–
Form
Nõmme Kalju II – last 3
LLL
11 Apr
vs Tartu Welco
1–5
L
4 Apr
@ FC Tallinn
3–6
L
19 Mar
@ Flora II
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
4.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Maardu – last 6
WDLLWD
11 Apr
vs FCI Levadia II
3–2
W
3 Apr
vs Tallinna Kalev
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Elva
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Nõmme United II
1–4
L
21 Feb
vs Tallinna Kalev II
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Flora II
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nõmme Kalju II and Maardu.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu?
Our pick is Maardu to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Maardu 65%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Maardu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu?
Nõmme Kalju II vs Maardu (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
