Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Tartu Welco vs FCI Levadia II preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tartu Welco take on FCI Levadia II on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Holm Jalgpallipark. Tartu Welco are 1st with 80 points from 36 games (top of the table), while FCI Levadia II sit 3rd on 57 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tartu Welco's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat Nõmme Kalju II 5–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
FCI Levadia II's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Maardu 2–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Tartu Welco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.8 for Tartu Welco and 1.2 for FCI Levadia II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Welco 67%, draw 22%, FCI Levadia II 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Tartu Welco 2–1 FCI Levadia II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Welco67%fair 1.49 · @1.27
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @5.75
FCI Levadia II11%fair 8.73 · @7.50
4.03Expected goals
2.79Tartu Welco xG
1.23FCI Levadia II xG
55%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–06%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.8 – 1.2 FCI Levadia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tartu Welco to win✓
67%
1.49
1.27
Double chance
Tartu Welco or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Tartu Welco ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco✗
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
Tartu Welco – last 4
WWLW
11 Apr
@ Nõmme Kalju II
5–1
W
3 Apr
@ Nõmme United II
3–1
W
10 Mar
@ Vaprus
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Tallinna Kalev
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FCI Levadia II – last 4
LLLL
11 Apr
@ Maardu
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Flora II
1–3
L
21 Mar
@ Elva
2–3
L
16 Mar
vs Nõmme United II
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tartu Welco and FCI Levadia II.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs FCI Levadia II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs FCI Levadia II?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FCI Levadia II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs FCI Levadia II?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs FCI Levadia II?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 FCI Levadia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs FCI Levadia II?
Tartu Welco vs FCI Levadia II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
