Tallinna Kalev host Flora II in the Esiliiga A on Thursday 16 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Kadrioru Staadion. Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 41 points from 35 games (in the bottom half), while Flora II sit 5th on 52 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Elva 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Flora II's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat FC Tallinn 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.4 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Flora II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.1 for Tallinna Kalev and 1.8 for Flora II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 71%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tallinna Kalev 48%, draw 18%, Flora II 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Flora II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tallinna Kalev48%fair 2.09 · @2.00
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @4.00
Flora II35%fair 2.90 · @2.62
3.90Expected goals
2.12Tallinna Kalev xG
1.78Flora II xG
71%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 2.1 – 1.8 Flora II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tallinna Kalev to win✗
48%
2.09
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Tallinna Kalev ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tallinna Kalev / FT Tallinna Kalev✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.35
–
Form
Tallinna Kalev – last 6
WDLWLL
9 Apr
vs Elva
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Maardu
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Viimsi
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs FC Tallinn
5–1
W
11 Mar
@ Paide
0–6
L
5 Mar
@ Tartu Welco
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Flora II – last 5
WWWLD
10 Apr
vs FC Tallinn
5–0
W
5 Apr
@ FCI Levadia II
3–1
W
19 Mar
vs Nõmme Kalju II
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Viimsi
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Maardu
0–0
D
2.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tallinna Kalev and Flora II.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Flora II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Flora II?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Flora II 35%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Flora II?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Flora II?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Flora II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Flora II?
Tallinna Kalev vs Flora II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
