Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultElva to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Tallinna Kalev vs Elva preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tallinna Kalev take on Elva on Thursday 9 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Kadrioru Staadion. Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 41 points from 35 games (in the bottom half), while Elva sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tallinna Kalev's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Maardu 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Elva's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Viimsi 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Elva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Tallinna Kalev and 1.6 for Elva. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tallinna Kalev 39%, draw 21%, Elva 40%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Elva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tallinna Kalev39%fair 2.59 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.80
Elva40%fair 2.47 · @2.30
3.11Expected goals
1.53Tallinna Kalev xG
1.58Elva xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 1.5 – 1.6 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elva to win✗
40%
2.47
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elva / FT Elva✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.77
–
Form
Tallinna Kalev – last 5
DLWLL
3 Apr
@ Maardu
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Viimsi
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs FC Tallinn
5–1
W
11 Mar
@ Paide
0–6
L
5 Mar
@ Tartu Welco
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Elva – last 3
WWW
3 Apr
vs Viimsi
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs FCI Levadia II
3–2
W
12 Mar
@ Maardu
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tallinna Kalev and Elva.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Elva 40%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?
Tallinna Kalev vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.