Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultElva to win ✓51% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Maardu vs Elva preview and prediction
The match
Elva travel to face Maardu in the Esiliiga A on Thursday 12 March (17:00 WAT). Maardu are 6th with 45 points from 33 games (in the bottom half), while Elva sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Maardu's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Nõmme United II 1–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for Maardu and 1.7 for Elva. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maardu 28%, draw 21%, Elva 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Maardu 1–1 Elva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maardu28%fair 3.55 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @4.00
Elva51%fair 1.97 · @1.73
3.18Expected goals
1.45Maardu xG
1.73Elva xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Maardu 1.4 – 1.7 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elva to win✓
51%
1.97
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elva / FT Elva✓
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.08
–
Form
Maardu – last 3
LWD
8 Mar
@ Nõmme United II
1–4
L
21 Feb
vs Tallinna Kalev II
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Flora II
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Elva
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maardu and Elva.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Maardu vs Elva?
On our numbers Maardu have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Elva 51%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Elva?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Elva?
Our predicted score is Maardu 1–1 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Elva?
Maardu vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
