Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga A sees Tartu Welco take on Tallinna Kalev on Thursday 5 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Holm Jalgpallipark. Tartu Welco are 1st with 80 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Tallinna Kalev sit 7th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 39 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.6 for Tartu Welco and 1.6 for Tallinna Kalev. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 79% and both teams to score at 72%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Welco 47%, draw 17%, Tallinna Kalev 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Tartu Welco 2–1 Tallinna Kalev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Welco47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @4.50
Tallinna Kalev36%fair 2.78 · @2.40
4.24Expected goals
2.60Tartu Welco xG
1.64Tallinna Kalev xG
72%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.6 – 1.6 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tartu Welco to win✓
47%
2.11
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
72%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Tartu Welco ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.51
–
Form
Tartu Welco
No recent results on record.
Tallinna Kalev
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tartu Welco and Tallinna Kalev.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tallinna Kalev 36%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev?
Tartu Welco vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
