Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Leones del Norte to win @ 3.50 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMushuc Runa SC to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.51
Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
Mushuc Runa SC host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on Tuesday 8 September, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points.
Form guide
Mushuc Runa SC's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with LDU de Quito 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leones del Norte's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Orense SC 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Mushuc Runa SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Leones del Norte 3–1 Mushuc Runa SC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Mushuc Runa SC and 1.1 for Leones del Norte. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mushuc Runa SC 40%, draw 24%, Leones del Norte 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.87.
Value angle: Leones del Norte to win at 3.50 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mushuc Runa SC40%fair 2.49 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Leones del Norte36%fair 2.79 · @3.50
2.33Expected goals
1.21Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.12Leones del Norte xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.2 – 1.1 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leones del Norte 36%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte?
Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
