Independiente del Valle vs Macara prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Independiente del Valle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.82
Independiente del Valle vs Macara preview and prediction
The match
Macara travel to Estadio Banco Guayaquil in the Liga Pro on Sunday 6 September (00:00 WAT) to face Independiente del Valle. Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84 points from 35 games, while Macara sit 2nd on 67 points. A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Independiente del Valle's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Barcelona SC 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Macara's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Manta FC 4–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Independiente del Valle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Independiente del Valle and 0.9 for Macara. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente del Valle 65%, draw 22%, Macara 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente del Valle to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Macara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente del Valle65%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.60
Macara14%fair 7.37 · @5.50
2.96Expected goals
2.09Independiente del Valle xG
0.87Macara xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.1 – 0.9 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.82
–
Form
Independiente del Valle – last 6
LDWWWW
3 Sep
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Universidad Catolica
2–2
D
26 Aug
vs Deportes Tolima
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Leones del Norte
3–2
W
19 Aug
@ Deportes Tolima
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Delfin SC
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Macara – last 6
WWLDDL
2 Sep
vs Manta FC
4–3
W
30 Aug
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
25 Aug
@ Libertad
0–1
L
20 Aug
vs Santos
0–0
D
18 Aug
vs Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
13 Aug
@ Santos
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Macara.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Macara?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Macara?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Macara 14%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Macara?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Macara?
Independiente del Valle vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
