Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Cuenca to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceDeportivo Cuenca or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.30
Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Deportivo Cuenca take on Libertad on Monday 7 September, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while Libertad sit 7th on 51 points.
Form guide
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Guayaquil City FC 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Libertad's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Emelec 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Libertad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Libertad 0–1 Deportivo Cuenca. Across their last 2 meetings Deportivo Cuenca have won 2, Libertad 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Deportivo Cuenca and 0.5 for Libertad. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Safer route: Deportivo Cuenca or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Cuenca to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Libertad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Cuenca65%fair 1.53 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.20
Libertad14%fair 7.13 · @4.33
2.14Expected goals
1.60Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.54Libertad xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.6 – 0.5 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?
Our pick is Deportivo Cuenca to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Libertad 14%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
