Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC prediction & analysis
89%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Cuenca or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.12 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Cuenca to win @ 1.80 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✓66% · @1.80
Double chanceDeportivo Cuenca or draw ✓89% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Deportivo Cuenca take on Guayaquil City FC on Wednesday 2 September, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while Guayaquil City FC sit 8th on 48 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Tecnico Universitario 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Guayaquil City FC's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat LDU de Quito 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Guayaquil City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Deportivo Cuenca and 0.5 for Guayaquil City FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Cuenca 66%, draw 23%, Guayaquil City FC 11%.
Safer route: Deportivo Cuenca or draw (89%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Deportivo Cuenca to win at 1.80 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Cuenca or draw – a 89% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.12, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Cuenca66%fair 1.51 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Guayaquil City FC11%fair 9.11 · @4.50
2.26Expected goals
1.72Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.54Guayaquil City FC xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.7 – 0.5 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cuenca to win✓
66%
1.51
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Cuenca or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Deportivo Cuenca ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.00
–
Form
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
LDLLLW
29 Aug
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Orense SC
0–2
L
11 Aug
vs Manta FC
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Independiente del Valle
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs Emelec
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guayaquil City FC – last 6
WWDDLD
29 Aug
vs LDU de Quito
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Tecnico Universitario
3–2
W
15 Aug
vs Libertad
2–2
D
10 Aug
vs Emelec
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Macara
1–2
L
27 Jul
vs Universidad Catolica
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Guayaquil City FC.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Deportivo Cuenca or draw with a 89% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guayaquil City FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
