Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmelec to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.21
Emelec vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
Leones del Norte travel to Estadio George Capwell in the Liga Pro on Monday 31 August (00:00 WAT) to face Emelec. Emelec are 10th with 45 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Emelec's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to LDU de Quito 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Leones del Norte's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Independiente del Valle 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Leones del Norte 2–0 Emelec.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Emelec and 0.5 for Leones del Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emelec 63%, draw 23%, Leones del Norte 14%.
Safer route: Emelec or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Emelec to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Emelec 1–0 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emelec63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
Leones del Norte14%fair 7.17 · @4.00
2.08Expected goals
1.54Emelec xG
0.54Leones del Norte xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.5 – 0.5 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Emelec to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Emelec have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leones del Norte 14%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
Emelec vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
