Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAucas to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.71
Aucas vs Libertad preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Aucas take on Libertad on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. Aucas are 5th with 54 points from 36 games, while Libertad sit 7th on 51 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aucas's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to LDU de Quito 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Libertad's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Macara 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Libertad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Libertad 3–2 Aucas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Aucas and 0.6 for Libertad. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aucas 63%, draw 20%, Libertad 17%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aucas to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Aucas 1–0 Libertad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aucas63%fair 1.59 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.60
Libertad17%fair 5.78 · @5.50
2.19Expected goals
1.57Aucas xG
0.62Libertad xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.6 – 0.6 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Aucas to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Aucas vs Libertad?
On our numbers Aucas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Libertad 17%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Libertad?
Aucas vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
