Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMacara to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.72
Libertad vs Macara preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Libertad take on Macara on Tuesday 25 August, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne. Libertad are 7th with 51 points from 36 games, while Macara sit 2nd on 67 points. A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Libertad's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Guayaquil City FC 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Macara's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Santos 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Libertad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Libertad and 1.4 for Macara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Libertad 30%, draw 22%, Macara 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Libertad 0–1 Macara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad30%fair 3.32 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Macara48%fair 2.09 · @2.20
2.35Expected goals
0.99Libertad xG
1.35Macara xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Libertad 1.0 – 1.4 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win✗
48%
2.09
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.72
–
Form
Libertad – last 6
DWWWWL
15 Aug
@ Guayaquil City FC
2–2
D
10 Aug
vs Universidad Catolica
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Orense SC
3–0
W
27 Jul
@ Mushuc Runa SC
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ Barcelona SC
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Macara – last 6
DDLWWD
20 Aug
vs Santos
0–0
D
18 Aug
vs Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
13 Aug
@ Santos
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Barcelona SC
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Gualaceo SC
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad and Macara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Libertad vs Macara?
On our numbers Libertad have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Macara 48%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Macara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Libertad 0–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs Macara?
Libertad vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
