Value bet: Barcelona SC to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMushuc Runa SC to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.47
Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Mushuc Runa SC take on Barcelona SC on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa. Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43 points from 36 games, while Barcelona SC sit 6th on 49 points.
Form guide
Mushuc Runa SC's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Tecnico Universitario 3–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Barcelona SC's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Macara 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Mushuc Runa SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Barcelona SC 2–1 Mushuc Runa SC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Mushuc Runa SC and 1.1 for Barcelona SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mushuc Runa SC 43%, draw 22%, Barcelona SC 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Barcelona SC to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Barcelona SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mushuc Runa SC43%fair 2.30 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Barcelona SC34%fair 2.90 · @3.25
2.39Expected goals
1.29Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.10Barcelona SC xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.3 – 1.1 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barcelona SC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC?
Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
